NOW = 1.7 Million Active Subscribers | 3 Months from now = Guess What

It's mostly from http://www.vgchartz.com/weekly/40937/Global/ which lists SWTOR as having sold ~2.1mil on week ending Jan. 28th and Vgachartz only estimates the physical copies sold, not the digital. So with EA claiming almost 40% of the copies sold are digital through Origin, the number is quite alot higher than the ~2.1mil that Vgachartz estimates.

Should be noted that the Vgachartz numbers aren't exact. They can be close to real numbers or they can be way off aswell. So they shouldn't be used for other things than guesses.

My rough estimate is 2.5M Active Subscribers
What's yours?

So let me see:

3 weeks into release and 2 million customers are playing SWTOR, the server cap is maxed out and new servers are created. The server list reads full/heavy for 90% of the servers.

6 weeks later we are told 1.7 million people are still playing yet when we look at the server list it reads Heavy for about 10 servers and Standard/light for the other 90.

Even the most idiotic person can see that there are nowhere near 1.7 million people playing. I would estimate 500k and that's being generous.

But I do understand that many people are younger than me that play this game and they are very impressionable, EA figures released will be believed by these young adults. I however have been playing games since Airbourne ranger on the old Atari console, I have been in business for 25 years and know what PR is all about.

Anyway you fanboys keep thinking this game is doing well. I am off to level up my new Bountyhunter and Operative as I had to ditch my 2 high level guys and start again because the server became too empty I could not even do heroics. Yeah this game is booming alright

My rough estimate is 2.5M Active Subscribers

WoW another super dev / financial expert / analyst with great experience who base is expert view of a game by the wind that come out of his ***.

It all depends on when Bioware/EA start offering free trials to the game.

If the price remains the same - new sales will have ground to the expected trickle... maybe 50k/month and I have no doubt they'll be losing customers faster than that.

In that scenario... there won't be a lot of people on the 30-day free period... so I'll say we're probably looking at something just a bit over 1 mil... 1.2... 1.1.

If they do start giving out free trials... or have free trial weekends and count those people as 'active subcribers' - I have no idea. It could reach the 2.5 mil you mention.

So let me see:

3 weeks into release and 2 million customers are playing SWTOR, the server cap is maxed out and new servers are created. The server list reads full/heavy for 90% of the servers.

6 weeks later we are told 1.7 million people are still playing yet when we look at the server list it reads Heavy for about 10 servers and Standard/light for the other 90.

Even the most idiotic person can see that there are nowhere near 1.7 million people playing. I would estimate 500k and that's being generous.

But I do understand that many people are younger than me that play this game and they are very impressionable, EA figures released will be believed by these young adults. I however have been playing games since Airbourne ranger on the old Atari console, I have been in business for 25 years and know what PR is all about.

Anyway you fanboys keep thinking this game is doing well. I am off to level up my new Bountyhunter and Operative as I had to ditch my 2 high level guys and start again because the server became too empty I could not even do heroics. Yeah this game is booming alright