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Next time EA announces number of subs...

STAR WARS: The Old Republic > English > General Discussion
Next time EA announces number of subs...

Goretzu's Avatar


Goretzu
06.25.2012 , 11:53 AM | #111
Quote: Originally Posted by Kharnis View Post
So, your evidence and support for your argument is a blog from someone who doesn't back up his statement of "anyone in a free trial period" with any kind of data or facts?

Look, I'm not asking you to take EA's word on faith. I'm asking you to use logic. If a company is going to publicly declare what their revenue generators are, do you really think that they are going to play fast and loose with the facts in this day and age of SEC hyper-oversight and activist investors? And do you really think they're going to do that for a game that isn't their number one revenue generator? Do you really think they're going to want to risk possible litigation, criminal charges, and corporation bankrupcy just to inflate the numbers of something that isn't in their top five money making ventures?

Or do you think they're going to play it safe and not take that kind of chance?


Again it is perfectly legal and correct too count all those options in active accounts, which is what most MMORPGs have done for more than a decade now.

What Bioware actually counts is impossible to tell, unless they specifically state it, but they will likely count what most other MMORPGs count.......... which is all of the above.

There's no conspiracy here, nor any "risk", it's not "fast and loose", it's perfectly acceptable.... it's just what the industry does.

It's also the reason WoW can claim the subs figures it does (and has).

Although it was largely SoE that pushed the boundaries of what can counted way back in EQ1.
Real Star Wars space combat please, not Star Wars Fox! Maybe some PvP and flight too?
Goretzu's Law: As an online discussion grows longer, the probability of a comparison involving "Entitled" approaches 1

Goretzu's Avatar


Goretzu
06.25.2012 , 12:00 PM | #112
Quote: Originally Posted by Ranid View Post
So all those play for free subscriptions in July will count too, even though they do not generate revenue?
I would imagine accounts with free time on them within the last 30 days before the count date would be counted, yes.

If you mean the new free accounts up to L15, I'm not sure (and there's no way to be sure without a statement from Bioware or EA), but a lot of MMORPGs do count trials so long as there has been activity on them in the last 30 days before any count of numbers.


Quote: Originally Posted by MasterKayote View Post
What does it even matter how much the numbers are skewed? What ever they do or dont count is irrelevent. Its not like that number means anything to us. All we csre about is wether it goes up or down. Up = good, Down= bad. Furthermore, we just use that number to compare how the game is doing in proportion to others who ALSO skew the numbers just the same. So really, arguing on the accuracy of those announcements is pointless.
Yes to a degree, but equally anyone interested in the health of the game gains nothing from fooling themselves (that won't generate revenue for development or expansion pack) over what is mostly likely counted.

And yes every other MMORPG does it too (hence what I said about WoW and EQ1 above).

Hopefully subs will be growing, but either way what is counted....... is what is counted.
Real Star Wars space combat please, not Star Wars Fox! Maybe some PvP and flight too?
Goretzu's Law: As an online discussion grows longer, the probability of a comparison involving "Entitled" approaches 1

Rafaman's Avatar


Rafaman
06.25.2012 , 12:00 PM | #113
Lol. This is still going on? Look, there are a number of ways to use creative accounting to give your investors the warm and fuzzy. I'm not talking about cooking the books mind you, I'm talking about creative ways counting current revenue streams and projecting future revenue. ALL Corps do this and they try to justify a short fall or a net gain.

So... it doesn't really matter how you think the should be counted or when. The net is they will have to give a number, which you may or may not agree with, but unless you are an auditor that is where it ends.

No sense obsessing about it to prove your point one way or another. The health of the industry is a much bigger concern actually.

SnkByte's Avatar


SnkByte
06.25.2012 , 12:01 PM | #114
Quote: Originally Posted by Sekish View Post
I doubt it would go up. There isn't much of the 'second chance' factor, especially when a monthly fee is involved. The game has some fundamental game design and technical issues, that are bottleneck-ing its potential. I expect it would become just a niche MMO, played by a couple of hundreds of thousands die-hard SW fans. Pretty much similar to LOTRO, or (most probably) bit worse.

I'd love to see the game overcoming its major problems and expanding. I really like some aspects of it. But I'll probably leave as soon as I spot a real MMO alternative. You know, stuff like open world without too much instancing, world PvP, exploration, faction-based drama, less e-peen-controlled immature brains, ....
The exact truth in just few sentences (especially the first part).

Even if technical problems are solved (i don't count on it considering nothing except very few workarounds are done by now), then the design flaws are made in game's early fundamental design stages where its impossible to ever change almost anything.

Celebrus's Avatar


Celebrus
06.25.2012 , 12:02 PM | #115
Simply put, they have months, if not years, of work still ahead of them to *MAINTAIN* the current population, much less increase it.

Chances are pretty good that you wont see a positive population trend for this game for quite some time. Playing this game is like reading The Dwindling Party.

jgelling's Avatar


jgelling
06.25.2012 , 12:04 PM | #116
Quote: Originally Posted by Celebrus View Post
Simply put, they have months, if not years, of work still ahead of them to maintain a steady population.

Chances are pretty good that you wont see a positive population trend for this game for quite some time. Playing this game is like reading The Dwindling Party.
Isn't EA themselves about to throw The Secret World into this? As in, like a couple of weeks? I don't know, I haven't heard great things about the game, but wouldn't it be nice if EA wasn't kind of theoretically cannibalizing some potential subs?

Kharnis's Avatar


Kharnis
06.25.2012 , 12:07 PM | #117
Quote: Originally Posted by Goretzu View Post
Again it is perfectly legal and correct too count all those options in active accounts, which is what most MMORPGs have done for more than a decade now.

What Bioware actually counts is impossible to tell, unless they specifically state it, but they will likely count what most other MMORPGs count.......... which is all of the above.

There's no conspiracy here, nor any "risk", it's not "fast and loose", it's perfectly acceptable.... it's just what the industry does.

It's also the reason WoW can claim the subs figures it does (and has).

Although it was largely SoE that pushed the boundaries of what can counted way back in EQ1.
Seriously, where are you getting this from? And please don't re-link that blog. That's not evidence. I want to know where you get the "it's what the industry does" and "what most MMORPGs have done for more than a decade now" from.

I'm going to try this one more time. In this time of less than stable economic conditions, where everyone and their dog are giving large corporations the hairy eyeball over their past conduct, where a great deal of people are already willing to believe every horror story and "fact" about EA and their operating practises, do you really think EA would do anything that would increase financial risk and/or losses? Do you really think that someone, somewhere, wouldn't try to take them to task for "misleading investors" should EA try to claim that free trials and free-to-play accounts are "active subscribers?"

EA would probably win any suit brought against them by activist investors, sure. But it would take time, and more importantly, money. And in a time when their stock has lost a great deal of value over the last few months, why would they do anything to risk pushing it even lower? And why would they waste the money they don't need to by defending themselves in any kind of suit when they could save that money by not putting themselves in that kind of situation in the first place?
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MasterKayote's Avatar


MasterKayote
06.25.2012 , 12:35 PM | #118
Quote: Originally Posted by Goretzu View Post
Yes to a degree, but equally anyone interested in the health of the game gains nothing from fooling themselves (that won't generate revenue for development or expansion pack) over what is mostly likely counted.


True, but the thing is, we're totally ignorant on what their expenses are. All we know is how much they make from each sub (roughly). Everything inbetween that and what they make at the end of the day is unknown. They only said at one time they only need a million subs to break even with the development costs ... even with that its near impossible to guess exactly what that meant.

For all we know,TOR could be making EA more than WoW makes Blizz, even if they have 10 times the subs TOR does. Way too many factors play into that, including how much of the profits go into future developments. Just because WoW CAN invest more back into the game doesnt mean they do.

So again, its really pointless. To us, the accuracy of the sub numbers is just that ... a number. The only thing we, as consumers, can get out of it is how it compares to other games.

SnkByte's Avatar


SnkByte
06.25.2012 , 12:43 PM | #119
Quote: Originally Posted by Kharnis View Post
Seriously, where are you getting this from? And please don't re-link that blog. That's not evidence. I want to know where you get the "it's what the industry does" and "what most MMORPGs have done for more than a decade now" from.

I'm going to try this one more time. In this time of less than stable economic conditions, where everyone and their dog are giving large corporations the hairy eyeball over their past conduct, where a great deal of people are already willing to believe every horror story and "fact" about EA and their operating practises, do you really think EA would do anything that would increase financial risk and/or losses? Do you really think that someone, somewhere, wouldn't try to take them to task for "misleading investors" should EA try to claim that free trials and free-to-play accounts are "active subscribers?"

EA would probably win any suit brought against them by activist investors, sure. But it would take time, and more importantly, money. And in a time when their stock has lost a great deal of value over the last few months, why would they do anything to risk pushing it even lower? And why would they waste the money they don't need to by defending themselves in any kind of suit when they could save that money by not putting themselves in that kind of situation in the first place?
The thing is that they (not only EA) are very very inexplicit (not sure if this is the right english word but i hope you get it) in their statements. To put it simply - they don't out right lie to get in trouble they just tell half the truth.

Synxos's Avatar


Synxos
06.25.2012 , 12:43 PM | #120
Quote: Originally Posted by MasterKayote View Post

For all we know,TOR could be making EA more than WoW makes Blizz, even if they have 10 times the subs TOR does. Way too many factors play into that, including how much of the profits go into future developments..
What?!?