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The layoffs have me confused more then anything else. Help?

STAR WARS: The Old Republic > English > General Discussion
The layoffs have me confused more then anything else. Help?

Alkiii's Avatar


Alkiii
05.23.2012 , 02:46 PM | #101
Quote: Originally Posted by Grevlin View Post
Actually, this is my major.

Yes it can, but you're also talking about one among a myriad of products. I highly doubt that EA's currently low stock price is based on less-than-positive (let's face it, SWtOR is still in second place among MMORPGs. At worst, the media indicates it's underperforming compared to its full potential. Really negative publicity would be like if it wiped your hard drive, damaged video cards, lost all but 300k subscribers, or caused your computer to grow arms & strangle you.) publicity about ONE product among dozens. EA's not the only big game publisher to be suffering from lackluster stock growth at this time. IIRC, all but Blizzard are chugging along at the bottom. You may not have heard, but there's something of a slump in the general economy right now. :-P

The economy has been bad for some time, yet in November EA shares were around $26.00 each. Today they're at $14.00 or so. Do you remember what happened in November? I guess when the game launched and all the "good" publicity associated with the launch, this somehow had nothing to do with the shares increasing in value?

The bad publicity is now rolling in, the value has dropped by almost half, yet you have the audacity to sit here and say that SWTOR didn't have anything to do with any of it?

Come on now ... lets be reasonable here.

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The person making an argument is irrelevant to the argument itself. The statements made stand & fall based on their own merits. It doesn't matter if you're Gandalf & I'm Smeagol or vice versa.
I'm Gandalf. I called it.

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I'd say there's plenty of information out there. When taken as a whole, though, it doesn't paint the picture of a failing product. Only when you pick & choose does that picture emerge, and that seems to be the prevailing interpretation on these forums.
Server population is painting a well enough picture for me to make a pretty good guess on the status of the game's health. It's just a guess, yes, but it is what it is.

You seem to be doing the same thing in picking and choosing here. Lets not be hypocritical my friend. We both do not have all the information to formulate a definitive answer here. It's all speculation on both counts. However, the trend is leaning more towards the game not doing as well as we had hoped ... the drop in subs is proof of this, the layoffs is proof of this, and the drop in share value is proof of this.

Again, we can agree to disagree here. But I'm Gandalf, whether you like it or not. Then again, being labeled a troll just for disagreeing with you is somewhat uncalled for.
“When I die, I want to go peacefully like my Grandfather did, in his sleep ... not screaming like the passengers in his car.”

Grevlin's Avatar


Grevlin
05.23.2012 , 02:48 PM | #102
Quote: Originally Posted by Rouge View Post
Why can't you "I've just unsubbed, so I came here to the forums to post all about it" people get a new hobby? Or buy some other PC game and play it? Do you really have to come here to "flaunt" your unsubscription?
I would LOVE to have this put into a separate forum or something. Not banned or censored, just moved so that it doesn't interfere with the normal functioning of the forums.

Negative feedback serves an important purpose, and Bioware needs to hear it. It's just when it interferes with trying to get anything else done on the forum (as it has now) that it becomes problematic. I wouldn't normally suggest this sort of thing, but it's gotten out of hand. Maybe they can re-integrate the forums after more feature updates get released and the complaints (hopefully) die down. However, judging from WoW's forum, negative feedback like this may just be par for the course.

Goretzu's Avatar


Goretzu
05.23.2012 , 02:48 PM | #103
Quote: Originally Posted by Grevlin View Post
You do realize that the shareholders can take EA to court for fraud if they misrepresent things to the shareholders, right?

Like I said (about fifty times, apparently), the 1.3 million is primarily made up of people with ACTIVE PAYING SUBSCRIPTIONS. If you've got something other than a gut feeling that this isn't true, I'm all ears. Until then, I'll go with the actual numbers and the shareholders' info.

And just what are you trying to say? "Technically true but realistically 'seemed to be untrue'"? Could you elaborate on this & provide examples?

By the way, I didn't see any discussion of "casual" versus "hardcore" players in the shareholders' materials. Where are you quoting from in the shareholders' reports/press releases?

Most MMORPG count "active accounts" as all trial accounts, all accounts with any active time left, accounts with free time, accounts that were active (i.e. had game time etc.) within the last month.

So basically 1.3m is total "active" accounts, but that's no likely to be the same thing as the number of actively played accounts.
Real Star Wars space combat please, not Star Wars Fox! Maybe some PvP and flight too?
Goretzu's Law: As an online discussion grows longer, the probability of a comparison involving "Entitled" approaches 1

Molik's Avatar


Molik
05.23.2012 , 02:49 PM | #104
all i am going to say if they whip out something ******, i am just going to sit in the corner, and go HAHAHAHAA

point and laugh at everyone and say okay whose up for the new ****!
BETA TESTER

"Beating CE VIP's with darkside madness"

Lurchy's Avatar


Lurchy
05.23.2012 , 02:50 PM | #105
@ grevlin

Ok I am going to bite. I will not bother quoting you as you know what you have said and quite frankly most of it is not worth repeating.

You wish to crate a two tier forum system, one for paying customers that are on active rolling subscriptions (lets call these A) and one for people that are on active cancelled subscriptions (lets call these B). I am not entirely certain where you think people on game cards should fit but lets leave that by the by.

The people in the A category have their own forum where they can talk about sugar and spice and all things nice

The people in the B category have their own forum where they can speak about rats and snails and puppy dogs tails but due to their ongoing loyalty to BW the A category guys can sprinkle some sugar etc in the B forum also should they so choose to.

You also stated that the main reason for BW not implementing my immediate refund and termination for unsubbers to be 'it would be too difficult' rather than it would adversely effect their 1.3 million subscriber number.

At the same time you are attempting to present yourself as a credible analyst of investor metrics and a general free market kind of guy.


ARE YOU FREAKING SH****G ME?
Originally Posted by ErisktheRed
my suggestion, the empire creates the death star early and blows up Illum instead of Alderaan. Problem solved.

bobamech's Avatar


bobamech
05.23.2012 , 02:54 PM | #106
Quote: Originally Posted by Grevlin View Post
You do realize that the shareholders can take EA to court for fraud if they misrepresent things to the shareholders, right?

Like I said (about fifty times, apparently), the 1.3 million is primarily made up of people with ACTIVE PAYING SUBSCRIPTIONS. If you've got something other than a gut feeling that this isn't true, I'm all ears. Until then, I'll go with the actual numbers and the shareholders' info.

And just what are you trying to say? "Technically true but realistically 'seemed to be untrue'"? Could you elaborate on this & provide examples?

By the way, I didn't see any discussion of "casual" versus "hardcore" players in the shareholders' materials. Where are you quoting from in the shareholders' reports/press releases?
My apologies that was the conference call transcription.

I mentioned this on another thread. With 550k subscriptions, Swtor would be "profitable." That number was pulled somewhere off the webs of what analysts and EA were speculating. Obviously they want more than that. If they currently have 1.3M subscribers, then they can legally say they are "very profitable" at the time of statement. When they said that their data showed they loss a lot of "casual" players, that's very subjective. If they were using play time as a metric, it is likely to be fallible, but still legally and technically correct in their statement.

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Why can't you "I've just unsubbed, so I came here to the forums to post all about it" people get a new hobby? Or buy some other PC game and play it? Do you really have to come here to "flaunt" your unsubscription?
I'm not flaunting about it. i care about this game which is why I still post. I'm just showing you that their statement with 1.3M is skewed. I'm counted in the 1.3M subscribers despite having unsubscribed. I suppose if you take it as flaunting, then I hope it makes you angry and annoyed.

SikrouDeco's Avatar


SikrouDeco
05.23.2012 , 03:07 PM | #107
Quote: Originally Posted by MarshalVaako View Post
The restructuring/layoffs is the first bit if SWTOR news that has actually left me concerned. I'm a diehard SWTOR fanboy with a 6 month sub. I still believe a good group finder, server transfers and ranked warzones can totally save this game.

Honestly this new announcement has me confused more then anything else. It might sound bizzare but I'm not even sure if this is a good or bad thing. I mean SWTOR has had issues, with things like development priorities, buggy patches, poor communication and the like. Isn't it possibly that their trimming the fat, moving people around and maybe even hiring one or two new smarty pants to FIX SWTOR not gut it? Or does this have to be 100% bad news?
I just don't know if I should be happy or sad and that's really annoying. I mean its always bad when people lose their jobs but if some of these people were just doodling all day their salaries can be better spend elsewhere. I'm not saying everyone sacked deserved it or anything.
I'm just not sure if this means DOOOOM or NEW HOPE or just alittle tighning of the belt to keep swtor profitable with less subscribers.


Can someone help me out here?
They failed to meet their financial goals with ME3 and TOR, but profits must be maintained. EA has to answer to it's stock holders. If profits keep dropping, look for more layoffs, and and longer gaps in between new content etc.. I figure right now they see TOR as a revenue stream and will use it to fund other projects.

courtsdad's Avatar


courtsdad
05.23.2012 , 03:11 PM | #108
Quote: Originally Posted by AkulaX View Post
Concerned? Nope, I am terrified. I went through this with WAR and it was horrible. This feels exactly the same. And with EA's track record with MMO's and how they handle them.....the future is not real bright I am afraid.
I am a pre-cu vet and loved WAR but watched both get destroyed by people with no business sense. You are right, this feels very familiar.

Grevlin's Avatar


Grevlin
05.23.2012 , 03:17 PM | #109
Quote: Originally Posted by Alkiii View Post
The economy has been bad for some time, yet in November EA shares were around $26.00 each. Today they're at $14.00 or so. Do you remember what happened in November? I guess when the game launched and all the "good" publicity associated with the launch, this somehow had nothing to do with the shares increasing in value?

The bad publicity is now rolling in, the value has dropped by almost half, yet you have the audacity to sit here and say that SWTOR didn't have anything to do with any of it?

Come on now ... lets be reasonable here.
Yeah, because I'm aware that many things affect a company's stock price and that one product among dozens will not determine the stock price unless said product leads to liability suits. Now, let's take a look at some other electronic entertainment companies, shall we?

Electronic Arts

Activision-Blizzard

Sony

Capcom

Nintendo

The only one that didn't experience a significant spike and subsequent drop in stock price in or around the month of November was Nintendo, which still experienced a steady decline over the last year. Out of the four observed here, the only one that has a higher stock price than EA is Capcom (and Capcom's value seems to be all over the place, though averaging at $16). A look at Activision-Blizzard's stock price looks like a view of EA's last half-year in high-speed, and its November high point is equal to EA's low point. In general, it looks to be a tough year for those in electronic entertainment industries.

By the way, I was aware of this before I started posting. Why, as an apparently experienced investor, weren't you?

Quote: Originally Posted by Alkiii View Post
I'm Gandalf. I called it.
You're certainly not Bruce Wayne...

Quote: Originally Posted by Alkiii View Post
Server population is painting a well enough picture for me to make a pretty good estimate on the status of the game's health.

You seem to be doing the same thing in picking and choosing here. Lets not be hypocritical my friend. We both do not have all the information to formulate a definitive answer here. It's all speculation on both counts. However, the trend is leaning more towards the game not doing as well as we had hoped ... the drop in subs is proof of this, the layoffs is proof of this, and the drop in share value is proof of this.

Again, we can agree to disagree here. But I'm Gandalf, whether you like it or not.
Drop in subs was due to free trials cycling out rather than a drop in paying subscribers (and its still within predicted levels from when development began), the layoffs are part of a restructuring effort that will result in a larger workforce than before, and the share value is actually doing pretty well compared to other similar companies in this industry (as well as the drop coinciding with an almost market-wide drop in share price for electronic entertainment companies).

You see, for the stuff you cite as signs as ill health, I can point out how they're either taken out of context or rely on limited information. I've yet to see you do much more than re-iterate the same broken arguments.

Helistin's Avatar


Helistin
05.23.2012 , 03:34 PM | #110
Quote: Originally Posted by Grevlin View Post
Drop in subs was due to free trials cycling out rather than a drop in paying subscribers (and its still within predicted levels from when development began), the layoffs are part of a restructuring effort that will result in a larger workforce than before, and the share value is actually doing pretty well compared to other similar companies in this industry (as well as the drop coinciding with an almost market-wide drop in share price for electronic entertainment companies).

You see, for the stuff you cite as signs as ill health, I can point out how they're either taken out of context or rely on limited information. I've yet to see you do much more than re-iterate the same broken arguments.
Drop in subs was due to drop in paying subscribers rather than free trials cycling out (and its still within predicted levels from when development began), the layoffs are part of a restructuring effort that will result in a smaller workforce than before, and the share value is actually doing pretty well compared to other similar companies in this industry (as well as the drop coinciding with an almost market-wide drop in share price for electronic entertainment companies).

You see, for the stuff you cite as signs as good health, I can point out how they're either taken out of context or rely on limited information. I've yet to see you do much more than re-iterate the same broken arguments.