Let's do a little math on server stats

Math is hard.

I thought an analyst said subscribers were down to 1.2 million? I think it will just keep dropping once 3-month, 6-month subs are up.

As a former stockbroker, analysts have no crystal ball either.

But that fool used torstatus to pull his numbers out of his rear.

QFE

-AND-

All purely speculative.

No Hard Data other than number of servers and number of subscriptions. The rest speculative.

In addition to peek times you need to take into account peek days of the week ( yes there are peek days).

Also there could even be some varience to "type of player" (PvP, PvE, Casual, Hardcore, etc).

There could even be differences based of of the regions the servers are devided into.

And "other behavioral traits" that are not quantifiable.

This is not a straight calculation and with a speculative sample its hard to see how the results could mirror the acctual.

This would be better served if you proposed a hypothesis and a METHOD of examining your hypothesis with quantifiable data seeking volunteers from some population sample set that is representative of the player base.

So basically the OPs calculations are bollox as usual.

"There are three kinds of lies: lies, damned lies, and statistics."

Who cares, it is just a name in a game. The more important part is actually getting to play the game and reasonably enjoy the content with other people. People losing their name should be the last thing they need to be worry about, its just a name in a game.

Ahh but many do purchase early to get their favorite name. A time honored tradition of MMO's.

Ha! What fun to watch an urban legend being made! The analyst predicted that by the end of March 2013, the game will have around 1.25 million subscribers. In other words, a prediction of the subscription count one year from now. The "analysis" was, based on server statistics provided on TorStatus.net, which, as we know, provides 60-day on relative server loads, not on population.

I wonder how his analaysis will change given the recent 37-country expansion into Europe and the Middle East.

The usual quote rendered by those who didn't get prob & stats.

Gotten at UCLA over 30 years ago.