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Wittand
02.19.2013 , 11:19 PM | #71
Quote: Originally Posted by psandak View Post
Classic gambler's fallacy. Did you even read the wikipedia link above?
No that is not the gamblerīs fallacy. The gamblerīs fallacy is assuming that if you have not rolled a 6 with a normal dice the likelyhood of rolling a six increases.
The poster you quoted simply stated that not rolling a six has the probability of 5/6 with one roll, but 25/36 with two rolls, ... . With increasing the number of rolls the likelyhood of not having rolled a six converges against zero, while for every single throw the chance of not rolling a six remains 5/6.