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Corporal_Armstro
11.06.2012 , 07:03 PM | #26
Quote: Originally Posted by Skodan View Post
what are your numbers?!?

its 20% each time.

.20
.20
.20
.20
.20
.20
.20
.20
.20

this never changes
Did you ever do statistics and probability at school? The odds will always stay the same, but probability suggests that the chance of successive failures reduces every time. For Eg.

I have 2 dice and my aim is to roll a 4 ,5 ,6. My odds are 50% per dice, but by probability which is
2 x .5 = 1

Say if my goal is unchanged but instead of rolling two dice at once, I get a reroll. In this case it would then be
1 x .5 = .5
1.5 x .5 = .75

So in the realms of probability I have a greater chance of rolling a 4 ,5 ,6 with 2 dice than with rolling the one twice. So in which the odds for an RE is always .2 or .1, each successive roll would then be 1.2 x the proceeding. The odds are ALWAYS the same, my probability just increases.

If we put the above example into the question of RE probability it is:

1 x .2 = .2
1.2 x .2 = .24
1.24 x .2 = .248

And so on.

I'm a glass half full kind of guy. I like to think positive.