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GnatB
11.01.2012 , 04:55 PM | #22
Yep. The odds of getting a success on THIS attempt may be about the same as the odds that the next 7 attempts will be failures.

But once you've failed 6 times, it isn't 50/50 odds on the next attempt. The next attempt is still only 20% chance of success... and ~20% chance that the next 7 attempts will be failures.