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10.31.2012 , 05:20 PM | #15
Quote: Originally Posted by Arkerus View Post

Every individual roll is 20%. No matter how many times you did it before, it's only 20% each roll.

You chance, OVER TIME, is increased as odds say eventually you will hit the schematic. However each individual roll is 20% regardless of anything that has every happened before it.

This the classic gambler fallacy.
^ Forget all the fancy calculations in the thread, this guy got it right!