oh dear, think we have all been missing one very important point.
this 4 person match up, seems very familiar to me, ah yes wrestling. they have these kind of matches all the time in wrestling, and the main reason for having one, is so the weak person that could never stand toe to toe with the OP ppl, can win.
so looking at it this way, whoever you think is the weak person, will actually be the winner
Except for one major fault in your logic; Wrestling's fake and controlled by corporate bigwigs.
Oh and whoever you thought was going to win because he was 'weaker' than the rest, ends up getting jumped by Chris Jehrico with a steel chair and throwing himself in as a "new challenger".